Saturday, November 09, 2002Eerily Reminiscent"Police said they thwarted the plans of two Bow [NH] High School students who they said plotted to commit armed robbery, burglary and possibly hurt people at the high school and a local business." Find the whole story hereFull post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 6:47 PM (0 comments) Line of the Week"Listen. Negotiating with Saddam Hussein is about as practical as practicing aroma therapy on a French man. Okay? It's not going to happen."-Dennis Miller Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 3:39 AM (0 comments) Friday, November 08, 2002Men's hockeyDartmouth loses at Harvard 5-2 in the ECAC and Ivy opener for the Indians. The game was closer than the score indicated, as it was 3-2 until Harvard got an empty-netter with 18 seconds to play in the 3rd and then added insult to injury by scoring again with 2 seconds to go. Lee Stempniak '05 led the way for Dartmouth with a goal and an assist.Dartmouth is now 1-2-0 on the year and 0-1-0 in the conference. They play tomorrow at Brown who is 2-0 with 2 shutouts before returning home next weekend to start a 4 game homestand against Colgate. Get more updates from Dartmouth's new athletic site or from US College Hockey Online Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ben at 9:50 PM (0 comments) ProofreadProject Gutenberg, which creates digital copies of out-of-copyright books and makes them available for free on the Internet, needs help proofreading. It's pretty fast and easy to do, and it helps to get new titles online more quickly and with more accuracy.So far, Gutenberg has put a lot of books online. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 12:50 PM (0 comments) Silencio! Contributors like [Free Press founder] Timothy Waligore, [College Republican officer] Frank Webb, [former Review contributor] Vijay Rao, [Free Press something-or-other, right?] Laura Dellatorre, [the unbearably verbose and unreasonably smug] Brent Kessler, [shrill and inane] Jon Eisenman, and [the surprisingly reasonable (given the context)] Chien Wen Kung have apparently been shocked into submission (well, Mr Webb may finally have found a nice Cuban girl for himself or something). This would be a great opportunity for Kung to strike out on his own. Be honest: the S/N ratio has been rather low since the beginning, with most fodder for thought coming from Kung alone. Elevate yourself (further), Mr. Kung, make the break, and remember to send us the URL. And for the rest of you: silencio! Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 11:41 AM (0 comments) Let's Bomb BaghdadThe UN Security Council has approved unanimously the new resolution on Iraq. Even Syria voted with us.However, the determination of noncompliance will now be made by the weapons inspectors, rather than the US or the Security Council. This isn't great. Although we have every reason to believe that Iraq will not do what it is told to do, the inspectors won't exactly be forthcoming. Knowing, as they will, that a complaint will mean the start of a war, and knowing that they are generally pretty dovish, they'll give Saddam more of the benefit of the doubt than he deserves. Fortunately, though, the resolution requires the inspectors to report on compliance within 60 days of beginning their task. Also, Saddam must respond in 7 days on whether or not he will recognize this resolution -- which he might not do. Then the planes would take off. So, in celebration, I offer this. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 11:30 AM (0 comments) More Budget BuffooneryAs you know, the D has a story today about projected departmental budget cuts -- by almost 10% for each department. The College is also now looking to make $1 million in library cuts.All the same, the College thinks it's just fine to have $1 million in a Fund for Entertaining Gays. Plus, the College spent $58 million on administrative costs in 1996 -- a figure that has surely increased drastically after six years of heady prosperity. A liberal arts college that cuts courses and library funding, but keeps a bloated administration and funding for gays? We need to get our priorities straight. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 11:13 AM (0 comments) RolloI agree that the part of the criticism is that they took no position, but it appears that the side that is winning the debate within the party is that of the anti-war persuasion.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 9:52 AM (0 comments) Possible ArticleApparently due to the budget crunch, the College is going to cut back on classes. It might be interesting to find out how the College budgeting process works and how they screwed up so badly that they now have to cut programs and library services. It did not seem as if the losses were so bad on the endowment that these changes would be necessary and it's certainly not the case that they are getting less from tuition. Additionally, why are they cutting essential services like classes and libraries, but leaving affinity housing, the WRC, 95% of what goes on in Collis, and other wastes of money untouched?Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 9:48 AM (0 comments) Re: Meanwhile in ChicagoToo bad I took down my A16 (i.e., April 16, 200) photo archives. I had some great shots of the protestors who stayed with Tim (Waligore) and me and their Nikes, Reeboks, etc.As some of you may remember, that was the protest during which I was hit on the head and knocked out by a "No Parking" sign wielded by a black-clad anarchist thug right before getting a taste of tear gas. Fun weekend. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 12:07 AM (0 comments) Thursday, November 07, 2002ClarkI think you're misinterpreting the CW. The problem with the Democrats isn't that they should have opposed the war, it's that they should have had a stance. Instead, they delayed a vote on authorization of force for a long time, before finally voting FOR it. The same sort of thing holds true on the economy. They keep muttering that we need to roll back the tax cut, but they're not introducing legislation or doing anything else to solve the problem. What they should have done is come out in favor of the war from the start (allowing for a decent number of their colleages to disagree) and either shut the hell up about the economy or provided real solutions.They thus managed to present themselves as a party of grudging acquiesence, not something you look for in a leader. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 9:49 PM (0 comments) Hmmmm....Shannon County is 94% Native American, has a median income of just $20,916 (versus a statewide median of $35,282), and has a 52.3% poverty rate; a 92% win for Johnson isn't too surprising. But Hamlin County is 94% white, has a median income of $33,851 (just below the state median), and has a poverty rate of only 12%. Hamlin County actually went for Thune by 23 votes, 1444 to 1421. (Here are the county-by-county results.)If there were dirty tricks by the Dems, Shannon County would be the place to do it. Who would notice if 60%, 70%, or 80% for Johnson suddenly became 92%? So far, Thune has handled these wrinkles quite well. Although a recount won't be held until November 25, there is reason to believe that South Dakotans are tolerant of these matters and that their patience would not be tested: in 1962, George McGovern won under similar circumstances (no word on whether McGovern was ahead or behind before the recount, however). Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 6:08 PM (0 comments) Dakota DuplicityHere's an interesting piece from NRO by Byron York on voting irregularities in South Dakota and Johnson's curious, last-minute win. On Wednesday, I was blogging that the last remaining precinct was in Hamlin County, in the northeast of the state. York says it was Shannon County, an Indian reservation in the west and clear across the state (here's a map of South Dakota's counties). My answer came from the Office of the Secretary of State for South Dakota, which had up-to-the-minute, county-by-county returns. When I looked, at about 10:15am yesterday, that was the only county with outstanding precincts. I wonder which of us was right (him, I hope).I guess they must have already counted the absentee ballots in South Dakota, alas. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 5:41 PM (0 comments) Coz We Won't Be Happy 'Till We're Filibuster-ProofYep, Campaign 2004 began yesterday, folks. A quick look at who'll be up for re-election. It seems, from this vantage point, that whether we gain or lose depends on who decides not to run. Daschle's virtually certain not to run for the Senate -- either because he'll be running for president or because he's a loser.First, the bad news. I put 11 Dems as either safe or likely safe, as compared to only 8 GOPers. That's not great. We also have 5 "leaning safe" to their 3. There are 3 Dems and 2 GOPers about whom I don't know enough to make any guesses (actually, that goes for all of these senators, but this is fun so leave me alone). Now, the good news. The Dems will field 19 people, the GOP only 15. (You'll remember that, this year, we had 20 senators up for reelection, while the Dems had only 13.) Plus, while I can't foresee any Republicans retiring, I can easily see at least two Democrats retiring: Fritz Hollings (D., SC) and Tom Daschle (D., Moscow). (Then again, I didn't think that Fred Thompson or Phil Gramm would retire, either.) Lastly: coattails, coattails, coattails! Enjoy. Senators Up for Re-Election in 2004: Democrats: Bayh, Evan (IN) (Safe) Boxer, Barbara (CA) (Safe) Breaux, John (LA) (Who Knows) Daschle, Thomas (SD) (May Retire, Thank God) Dodd, Christopher (CT) (Likely Safe) Dorgan, Byron (ND) (Who Knows) Edwards, John (NC) (Likely Safe) Feingold, Russell (WI) (Likely Safe) Graham, Bob (FL) (Leaning Safe) Hollings, Ernest (SC) (May Retire) Inouye, Daniel (HI) (Safe) Leahy, Patrick (VT) (Safe) Lincoln, Blanche (AR) (Leaning Safe) Mikulski, Barbara (MD) (Safe) Miller, Zell (GA) (Leaning Safe) Murray, Patty (WA) (Likely Safe) Reid, Harry (NV) (Likely Safe) Schumer, Charles (NY) (Safe) Wyden, Ron (OR) (Who Knows) Republicans: Bennett, Robert (UT) (Safe) Bond, Christopher (MO) (Likely Safe) Brownback, Sam (KS) (Likely Safe) Bunning, Jim (KY) (Likely Safe) Campbell, Ben Nighthorse (CO) (Leaning Safe) Crapo, Mike (ID) (Leaning Safe) Fitzgerald, Peter (IL) (Leaning Safe) Grassley, Chuck (IA) (Who Knows) Gregg, Judd (NH) (Who Knows) McCain, John (AZ) (Clinically Insane) Murkowski, Frank (AK) (Safe) Nickles, Don (OK) (Safe) Shelby, Richard (AL) (Likely Safe) Specter, Arlen (PA) (Leaning Safe) Voinovich, George (OH) (Leaning Safe) Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 5:25 PM (0 comments) Re: Monorail!"...and by gum, it put them on the map!"Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 5:10 PM (0 comments) ThoughtThe CW seems to be that the Democrats lost because they didn't challenge Bush strongly enough on the big issues, i.e., the war and the economy; in other words they were too centrist. The idea that they need to move left seems to be gaining momentum. If this happens, they're done. Does anyone honestly believe that they would have won if they ran a more leftist platform? I think all the infighting and calls to move left could lead them to resemble the Labour Party, circa 1983 (if not in absolute policy, at least in results).Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 5:08 PM (0 comments) Early Action at Yale, Ivy Athletics, Dartlog by Email, and Mac AttackDaily Princetonian: "Early action replaces early decision at Yale"Also: "A History of Ivy Leave Academic and Athletics: Part 1 of 10" Remember, you can receive Dartlog postings by email (one email, daily) by signing up here. And, while you're at it, you can sign up to receive Dartmouth Review headlines and article summaries weekly here. Mac users: new versions of the best OS X web browser and the best news aggregator on any platform. Also, if you're using OS X 10.2 ("Jaguar"), download the MS Office update released today. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 4:40 PM (0 comments) Monorail!Just like in Ogdenville, North Haverbrook, and Brockway."We're twice as smart as the people of Shelbyville." Monorail, monorail, monorail! Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 3:58 PM (0 comments) Peer-to-peer file sharingNot that we support this kind of thing, but...(repost, in case it gost lost in Tuesday's posts) Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 3:36 PM (0 comments) More on Kuypers and Media BiasDartmouth's own Professor Jim A. Kuypers gives a very interesting interview on the CBC's "As It Happens." He discusses his new book, Press Bias and Politics: How the Media Frame Controversial Issues. A particularly revealing example from the book is given: a sanguine (for him) speech by Louis Farrakhan.The interview is on part two, and begins about 32 minutes in. Also, CNS News reported on the book in September. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 2:53 PM (0 comments) Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy?The ever-intrepid Daily Dartmouth has a story on GOP efforts to mount an "organized campaign to inconvenience" college voters in New Hampshire. An organized campaign to inconvenience... Hey, that sounds like the Democratic platform!Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 10:00 AM (0 comments) Wednesday, November 06, 2002More great newsOf the 24 senate candidates endorsed by the NRA, 21 won -- and that counts Thune as having lost.Of the 27 gubernatorial candidates they endorsed, 14 won (I'm only counting resolved elections here). Of the 76 House candidates with resolved races, 65 won. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 11:00 PM (0 comments) I almost forgotBob Smith finished the night with 2396 votes, including 5 from Hanover. For comparison, Senator-elect Sununu had 225, 506 votes. I figure that's roughly 0.5%.Also, Broward County (remember them?) officials have just "found" 100,000 ballots. No word yet on whether they're for Gore. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 9:59 PM (0 comments) James Tarantomakes a cool observation that Walter Mondale is, in all probability, the first person to have lost a state-wide election in all 50 states (49 while running for Prez, and now Minn). Wow.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 7:59 PM (0 comments) People actually read that stuff???I can't say I blame them too much. After all, they heard it here first:"That being said, Republicans will still win because they're just better than Demmycrats." -Emmett 2:58 "the down arrow for Dole is highly dubious" -Emmett 4:28 "I just ripped the posters down off the wall. I know it's not official or anything, but the action is necessary, symbolic and close enough." -Grossman 5:33 on the Fisher campaign for PA gov. "Sununu's right on track." -Grossman 7:55 with 1% of the vote in "We seem to be leading in two (MO and CO), down in one (AR), and unsure of two (SD, MN)." -Grossman 10:48. A little late to be making predictions, but a pretty good wrap up of what happened in the end. "Too close to call? Riiiiiiiiight. At this rate, Mrs. Dole will have the greatest percent for a statewide Republican candidate in NC's modern history." -Alston 10:50 Also, I count 6 posters: me, Grossman, Emmett, Alston, Talc, and Clark Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 7:11 PM (0 comments) Dartlog summaryFrom my first post yesterday through Rollo's summation of the day, these are the stats:5 posters 116 posts 6663 words in those posts 15+ pages of single-spaced text in those posts about 20,000 visits, total over 3,000 unique visitors visitors from over 21 different countries (we stopped doing geographic stats at about 1 PM yesterday) The archive: Election 2002: Whish, Bang, Pow Keep it up. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 6:47 PM (0 comments) Good wordsI just heard the best 5 words I've heard in about two years: Senate Minority Leader Tom DaschleThey've got a nice ring to them, don't you think? Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 4:19 PM (0 comments) Fun HeadlinesNY Times: "Senate Defeat Sends Mondale Back Into Political Retirement"Wash Post: "Ehrlich Stuns Townsend for Win", "Kennedy Mystique Falls Short for Townsend" Boston Globe: "Leo Felton, biracial like me" (???) Fox News: "Grand Old Party Time", "Be Vewwy, Vewwy Quiet: Media tiptoed around announcing election results last night" AP: "Bush Can Now Claim Coattails" Salon: "Democrats have only themselves to blame" Washington Times: "Vote watchers get wish but not results with VNS crash", "Too Much of a Good Thing at the Polls?" TNR: "Neutral Observers: How the Democrats stood by and watched the president rout them", "Unbecoming a Governor: Shannon O'Brien shows how you lose in a state your party dominates" Slate: "The end for McAuliffe?" Yahoo: "Proposed law in Berkely, California which would have sent coffee house owners to jail for six months for selling non-organic coffee is defeated" FARK: "Republicans: 'All your states are belong to us'" CNN: "Daschle, Gephardt: 'political strategy is working'" Metafilter: "Democrats are showing strongly in the Senate..." (from 8 PM last night) Slashdot: "Doom Ported to Nokia phone" Democratic Underground: "The forums were shut down at 11:00AM ET." Deutsche Presse: "SPIELBERG SAYS HE FEELS 'AT HOME' IN CUBA" Philly Inq: "A Philadelphia tradition: Letting street money talk" Dow Jones: "Sen. Daschle: 'Worst Night I Ever Had' - Report" UPI: "World braces for 'triumphant' Bush" Village Voice: "Voters Set Republicans Loose on the World" DNC: "McAuliffe: 'Fifty-five percent of Americans will wake up this morning living under a Democratic Governor'" (translated: "Please don't fire me!") Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 3:00 PM (0 comments) More from NHThe state representative returns are in for Hanover's district:Sharon L. Nordgren Dem (i) 4,782 9 percent Nancy Scovner Dem (i) 4,715 9 percent Hilda Weyl Sokol Dem (i) 4,546 9 percent Bernard �Bernie� Benn Dem (i) 4,494 9 percent Ruth Bleyler Dem 4,457 9 percent �Pete� E. Solomon Dem 4,454 8 percent Estelle Diamond Dem 4,321 8 percent Paul Mirski GOP (i) 3,215 6 percent Scott R. Borthwick GOP 3,025 6 percent Charles E. Sova GOP (i) 3,025 6 percent Lynne Langholz GOP 2,951 6 percent Robert Rice Estabrook GOP 2,850 5 percent William �Bill� Picken GOP 2,818 5 percent �Tom� Toner GOP 2,770 5 percent The top seven (all Democrats) have all been elected. In other news, Gene Douglass has just announced his candidacy for the NH-02 congressional race in 2004 (Charlie Bass's seat). Other frontrunners for '04 look like Jeanne Shaheen, Bob Smith, and state senator Lou D'Allesandro for Judd Gregg's Senate seat, and Bill Shaheen and Manchester Mayor Bob Baines for governor. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 2:48 PM (0 comments) Another Good SignFed cuts rates half point when most people were expecting a quarter point. Combined with yesterday's victories, maybe the economy will start moving.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 2:28 PM (0 comments) South DakotaThey have not counted the absentee ballots. In a small state like South Dakota, I'm not sure that there would be enough absentee ballots to swing it in Thune's directon though.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 12:11 PM (0 comments) South DakotaWith 100% of precincts reporting, Johnson leads with 167,481 to Thune's 166,954 -- a margin of 527 votes. There will be a recount. Please, please, does anyone know if they've counted the absentee ballots?Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 11:53 AM (0 comments) AlaskaIn the same way student activists don't truly represent the views of Native Americans, environmentalists are way out of touch with Alaskans. The only time the average mainlander hears about Alaska in politics is when drilling (or surveying) for oil in the arctic preserve comes up. Republicans are "trying to loot one of the last untouched frontiers." It looks like Alaskans just don't buy it...ALASKA Reporting: 98% Ted Stevens, GOP (i) 153,945 (79%) Frank Vondersaar, Dem 20,233 (10%) Jim Sykes, Grn 14,213 (7%) Jim Dore, AKI 5,728 (3%) Leonard Karpinski, Lib 1,959 (1%) Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 11:12 AM (0 comments) Hamlin CountyHamlin County has counted 92% of its precincts. The current vote there leans to Thune, 1206-1196 -- a margin of ten votes! If this is 92% of the votes cast (and it might not be, depending on how large each precinct is), there are about 208 more votes to count. Even if Thune wins all of these, he can't make up the current deficit. If absentees have been counted, then we'll have to rely on the recount...Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 10:22 AM (0 comments) Hamlin CountyIt's in the far northeast of the state. Probably good Bush country. Also probably not a reservation.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 10:18 AM (0 comments) Re: IllinoisIt is tough to see the governor be a Democrat for the first time in 30 years, but to be honest George Ryan was a complete waste of time and a crook. I think it's one of those things that one party being in control for so long invites corruption. Kind of like the scandals in the House pre-1994.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 10:15 AM (0 comments) Re: SD UpdateThey're counting absentees after the other votes. I'm guessing that the only people who know about Hamlin County are people in South Dakota, Michael Barone and Charlie Cook.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 10:11 AM (0 comments) SD UpdateJohnson ahead by 545 votes, one precinct remaining. The South Dakota Secretary of State's homepage shows 843 of 844 precincts have reported -- except for one in Hamlin county. This doesn't look like it'll be enough, but does ANYONE know anything about Hamlin County, South Dakota?Also, does anyone know if they've counted the absentees in South Dakota yet? Weren't they holding off (or was that Minnesota)? Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 10:08 AM (0 comments) South Dakota UpdateAlthough Norm Coleman seems to have locked up a win over Walter Mondale, Thune is ahead by less than 200 votes in South Dakota. They say three more precincts (not counties -- precincts) have to be counted, and that they favor Johnson, but I think this is overstated, and I also don't think that absentee ballots have been counted. As we all know, they tend to lean Republican. This one won't be over for a long while.That being said: Isn't it amazing how early a GOP victory became apparent? Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 9:56 AM (0 comments) Good Morning Everyone!Isn't it a beautiful, beautiful day?Isn't it though? Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 9:51 AM (0 comments) The coffee tastes better...I am enjoying my first sips of non-organically grown coffee, imported in such a way as to harm that elusive small, non-cocoa growing Columbian farmer, and I must say it tastes better today. And the sun seems to be shining a bit brighter.Of course, the lawsuits will begin shortly, and the Democrats I know are already complaining, but lets savor this one. Except here in Illinois, where the Dems swept the GOP. Lisa Madigan, an absolutely awful candidate, won the Atty. General race. Her father is the current House speaker and propelled her candidacy. This will be the first time in about 30 years there is a Dem in the governor's mansion. Blame the current Gov. Ryan for the party's failings here. Now, maybe this will finally convince the Baldwins to leave the country. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Christian at 9:45 AM (0 comments) Vegas StyleWhat's the over/under on how long McAuliffe stays in charge at the DNC?Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 9:33 AM (0 comments) Some FirstsFirst Republican governor in Georgia since Reconstruction.First Republican governor in Maryland since the 60s. First time a first term president's party has picked up seats in both the Senate and the House. First time a Republican governor has been reelected in Florida. Update: First Republican governor in Hawaii since 1962, also. (wow, both Vermont and Hawaii have Republican governors now) Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 9:30 AM (0 comments) Ladies and GentlemenI hereby declare this a wonderful night. Victory is ours.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 3:58 AM (0 comments) Nancy MerrillHas lost the state senate race here 55% to 45% with 81% of precincts reporting.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 2:46 AM (0 comments) Excuse me, sirCome on overFull post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 1:43 AM (0 comments) Hanover ReturnsSununu 1,140 26%Shaheen 3,171 73% Blevens 29 1% None of the frats are hanging out. Apparently nobody here feels like celebrating. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 1:41 AM (0 comments) SchwarzeneggerWith 32% of precincts reporting, 54-46 in favor of the Terminator's initiative in California.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 1:33 AM (0 comments) Other sourcesworth mention: News Channel 12 NY, NY TimesFull post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 1:25 AM (0 comments) MN GovernorRepublican pickup assured. Coattails?Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 1:24 AM (0 comments) Tired, tomorrow, tools, talentTired: I am.Tomorrow: I'll move everything from today to a special election archive. Plus, we'll have some stats, on posts and on readership. Suffice to say for now, we've done pretty well on both counts. Posters willing, we'll have some wrap-up tomorrow, particularly on NH races. Tools: Here's what we used (Emmett and I, at least): Blogger Pro, Chimera, NetNewsWire, Red Stripe, Scotch, gnocchi. Sources: Freep, CNN, Drudge, NR's The Corner, Fox News, CNN, MSNBC, Alston Ramsay, the Democratic Underground (to indulge in Schadenfreude; try it). Talent: Thanks to everyone who posted or emailed us. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 1:22 AM (0 comments) If you're reading this............and you're not too far away, come rage at Alpha ChiCccccccccelebrate good times, c'mon Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 1:19 AM (0 comments) Takes the HouseSez CNN:218 needed for majority. 435 races at stake, 19 undecided Republicans: 219 Democrats: 196 No big surprise, really. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 1:11 AM (0 comments) Take CaliforniaApparently, no one voted in California. MSNBC is reporting the two locked, with 800k votes apiece, with 25% reporting. That's 6.4m voting, total. Emmett says there are 35m people in CA...did 29 million get stuck on the freeway?Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 12:56 AM (0 comments) Thune is"all but predicting victory."That gibber-jabber earlier from Emmett about time zones earlier apparently has something to do with it, according to Carl Cameron, on Fox-y News. Beats the hell out of me. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 12:46 AM (0 comments) VermontDouglas takes it.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 12:39 AM (0 comments) Carnaham sticks it outTalent leads by 6, 52-46, 71% reporting.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 12:37 AM (0 comments) Barnes Out in GAWow, few expected that one. Pretty impressive performance by Ralph Reed and the GA GOP today.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 12:34 AM (0 comments) If the GOP Wins the SenateJim Jeffords holds coats.(This is Emmett, by the way.) Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 12:12 AM (0 comments) MSNBC projects Allard!Update: AP clinches it. Bing! Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 12:09 AM (0 comments) Tuesday, November 05, 2002Simon leads by 1% in CASays CNN.That's a pleasant surprise. County-by-county Does someone who knows CA geography better than we do wish to explain this a bit? Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 11:58 PM (0 comments) Missouri52-46, advantage Talent, with 58% reporting.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 11:57 PM (0 comments) Re: Good NewsEmmett, picture in picture, baby. just glad i got out of workFull post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 11:51 PM (0 comments) News from the "Democratic Underground"This was posted on the "Democratic Underground," a popular left-wing discussion site, by a frequent poster:F*ck it!! I give up, We lost it all. I know it's soon but the repugs have not lost one Senate seat and already took the house. Let them run the country for an eternity or at least until the American people can't stand the pain any longer, America deserves what it gets. I'm moving to Canada, F*ck this neo-fascist country. As far as a political party with a back bone, The DNC has blown it and blown it "Big time". I give up!! Where do I turn for some representation? Maybe Independent? Who cares, Im moving to Canada. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 11:48 PM (0 comments) Daschle gives upTells MSNBC that he will no longer be majority leader...Daschle: "It is a Republican night." Developing. Wow. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 11:43 PM (0 comments) So here's my questionWhy was Republican turnout so underestimated across the board? Were the Republicans' efforts just so much more effective than they've been in the past that they blew by all expectations? Or is there some media bias here, of the "nobody I knew voted for [Reagan]" sort?Sure, the GOP spent more on GOTV efforts than in the past, but everyone knew that. So how were the predictions so delighfully wrong. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 11:42 PM (0 comments) Re: New England Old School(This is Emmett:)Good work, Clark, but let's not forget about Vermont, where the Republican is ahead. Dems have a lock on the Maine governor's mansion, but this could be a GOP rout -- so much for the blue states! Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 11:28 PM (0 comments) Good News(This is Emmett:)Folks, we currently have 49 seats. We need to win ONE of FOUR (remember Cheney?). We are up in MO by 3 points, with over 33% reporting, and those are Carnahan districts. We are up in CO by 10 points, with over 25% reporting. We are up in MN by (gulp) more than 7 points, with 11% reporting. In SD, it is too early and too tight to make any predictions. Things look good... But why, on an historic day like this, is Clark watching "Journeys with George" on HBO? Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 11:26 PM (0 comments) In related news.....Dartmouth to return to single-sex supremacyFull post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 11:25 PM (0 comments) New England Old SchoolGOP governors in NH, MA, CT, and RI. what is going on here?Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 11:18 PM (0 comments) OuchClark beats me to the breaking news punch as did Team Grossman-Hogan earlier.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 11:09 PM (0 comments) One fewer Kennedy to worry aboutBoo-yah!Kathleen Kennedy-Townsend, who visited Dartmouth two years ago and was featured prominently in the yearbook, is outta there. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 11:07 PM (0 comments) KKTOhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh...see yaain't it nice to see kennedys lose? Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 11:04 PM (0 comments) Must See TVJust finished watching the "Journeys with George" documentary on HBO. I highly recommend watching it if you get a chance. It presents a great view of Bush and some of the stops will look awfully familiar to those of us who spent the 2000 campaign in New Hampshire.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 10:52 PM (0 comments) RockyListen, Andrew. There is never an inappropriate time to play the Rocky's theme song.Too close to call? Riiiiiiiiight. At this rate, Mrs. Dole will have the greatest percent for a statewide Republican candidate in NC's modern history. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Alston B. Ramsay at 10:50 PM (0 comments) Elaboration(This is Emmett:) Folks, we've won Georgia. Assuming that Texas and Tennessee are safe for the GOP, there are five more contested races -- MO, MN, SD, CO, and AR. We need only win two of these five races. We seem to be leading in two (MO and CO), down in one (AR), and unsure of two (SD, MN). This is very good news. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 10:48 PM (0 comments) If...somebody with the first name "Saxby" can win a Senate seat, I'm gonna run as "Big Talc" someday. Might face some trouble in NY, which once refused Green party gubernatorial candidate Al Lewis from running as "Grandpa" Al Lewis (he was on "The Munsters").Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 10:43 PM (0 comments) Sununununununununununununununununununu! PLUS WOWBrit Hume thinks Sununu's signs are too big, but who cares? He won.First words: "This is the best speech I've ever given." Sununu's grinning like an idiot, but if anyone should be allowed to do so... Chambliss by 9% Is this the Senate. That's 48. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 10:42 PM (0 comments) Take Back New EnglandJohn Kerry will hold on to his seat in Massachusetts if/when he runs for Pres. If we can fight for that seat--actually run a candidate, that is--and Ted Kennedy kicks the bucket (possible?), forget "Take Back Vermont," we may TAKE BACK NEW ENGLAND.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 10:36 PM (0 comments) Get ReadySununu to deliver his acceptance speech soon. Fox News will be there! Bam!Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 10:35 PM (0 comments) O'Brien to concede in MassSo says Boston 7 TV.People's Republic no more? Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 10:27 PM (0 comments) Daschle on NH"It wasn't to be, apparently."Indeed. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 10:21 PM (0 comments) Fox calls it for SununuWah-Hoo-Wah!We ain't Vermont Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 10:12 PM (0 comments) NH Victory!!!!!!!!! Live Free or Die!!!!!!!!Fox calls for Sununu, 52-46%. Wah Hoo Wah!Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 10:12 PM (0 comments) General UpdatesSC: Fox has called it for Graham, who's up 54-45%, with 66% reporting.CNN's Figures: AR: Hutchinson is down against Pryor, 44-56%, with 11% reporting. CO: Allard is leading Strickland, 53-44%, with 10% reporting. GA: Chambliss is leading Cleland, 56-43%, with 34% reporting. LA: Landrieu has a mere 43%, with 12% reporting. MO: Carnahan leads Talent, 50-48%, with 16% reporting (Cf. Earlier comment on statewide voting patterns in MO. Talent still has reason to be optimistic). Things look good for the GOP in Tennessee, Texas, and NH -- holds all. This looks like a possible pickup in GA... Minnesota Update! With a mere 19 votes in, Coleman is leading Mondale, 11 to 8. It's going to be a long night. North Carolina Update! Hey, it's Liddy Dole on TV, declaring victory. Congrats, Alston. One question: "Eye of the Tiger"? Why was she playing that? That's not Liddy Dole music. Maybe something by Scott Joplin... Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 10:11 PM (0 comments) NY Times to suspend publication starting tomorrrow?Why not? It's been a good night so far.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 10:01 PM (0 comments) Vermont Update(This is Emmett:)Is there a Republican upset in the making in Vermont? Douglas is leading Racine 45-42%, with 25% reporting. So says CNN... Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 9:59 PM (0 comments) Massachusetts/Maryland Update(This is Emmett:)In MA: Romney up over O'Brien, 52-43%, with 32% reporting. In MD: Townsend leads Ehrlich, 51-48%, with 37% reporting. A la CNN. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 9:50 PM (0 comments) This is more like itNYS Governor -- 118 of 16,026 precincts reporting (1%)Pataki (R-C) 18,872 56% McCall (D-WF) 11,247 33% Golisano (I) 3,048 9% Cronin (RtL) 255 1% Aronowitz (G) 277 1% Cuomo (L) 140 0% News Channel 12 Long Island is up on the NY Times Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 9:45 PM (0 comments) Bradley over Clark59-38%, according Fox. Thank you NH voters.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 9:41 PM (0 comments) In a NY State of Mind.......Reporting: 0%Pataki, GOP (i) 2,103 (48%) McCall, Dem 1,924 (44%) Golisano, Inp 279 (6%) Others 107 (3%) Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 9:38 PM (0 comments) Update on NH, MO(This is Emmett:) Fox News reports that Sununu is up, 51-44%.In MO, Talent is also up, 51-48%. There's been heavy turnout, but these returns come from Saint Louis - Carnahan's base. This is very promising. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 9:38 PM (0 comments) Sununu, Graham Deal Out Great Pain, Consternation to InfidelsSununu up 51-46% with 60% reporting!Lindsey Graham pulling ahead, 53-45% with 53% reporting! So says CNN. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 9:33 PM (0 comments) Sununu Update(This is Emmett:) Sununu's up, 50-47%, with 26% reporting. Carl Cameron's prediction is holding.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 9:12 PM (0 comments) Drudge Calls for Dole'Nuff said.Update: CNN agrees. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 8:56 PM (0 comments) New Hampshire Update(This is Emmett:) PoliticsNH has Sununu ahead, 49-48%, with 15% reporting! This is a much higher percentage reporting than any of the TV channels have, which is about 2-3% reporting.Carl Cameron of Fox News -- a New Hampshire native -- said that these returns are from the southern part of the state -- areas that are more likely to be for Shaheen. Furthermore, a reporter on CNN cited exit polls showing Sununu carrying Manchester -- which was not expected. This is all good news. Benson is practically raping Fernald for the governor's race, 55-42%, with 18% reporting. (Real close there for a while, huh Celia?) In other news, Charlie Bass seems set to win reelection, and the Republican, Jeb Bradley, will probably keep Sununu's old House seat. That's with 15% and 24% reporting, respectively. Don't ask me how they have different reporting figures for the races. It seems to me that a ballot is a ballot. This is Emmett M. Hogan, reporting. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 8:54 PM (0 comments) CNN calls BensonFull post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 8:50 PM (0 comments) That's Governer Bush...stillAnd not by a little, either...Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 8:19 PM (0 comments) CNN calls PACNN calls PA for Rendell, with 0% of precincts reporting.They're probably right, but still... Last post on PA, I promise. Blame any errors after this posting on Red Stripe. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 8:14 PM (0 comments) againwith 11% reporting, its about 55-44, and the counties that have reported show some good things for us.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Alston B. Ramsay at 8:13 PM (0 comments) "Republican Senate - Republican House" prices JUMP in Iowa futures markets in the last 15 minutes!'Nuff said.Check it. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 8:10 PM (0 comments) more44k to 33kFull post and comments below the fold. Posted by Alston B. Ramsay at 8:07 PM (0 comments) Thank you Brit Hume"Republicans would like to have the Senate back."What? Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 8:06 PM (0 comments) Our Beloved? SonCharlie Bass '74 has apparently never carried Hanover.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 8:03 PM (0 comments) The WORD from MSNBCDole ahead 59-41Sununu behind by 6% (with 1% reporting; note that this result set also has benson down by 5% - i.e., these are Democratic districts reporting) Florida 58-41 for Jeb Bush The NH result is a positive one...wait until more districts report and Benson gets the lead he's going to have...Sununu's right on track. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 7:55 PM (0 comments) our first resultsthe state board of elections has dole at 60-38 with less than 1% reporting (i believe they are the absentees). about 21k to 13k, and the state should have 1.1 or 1.2 million voters overall.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Alston B. Ramsay at 7:53 PM (0 comments) Michael Ellis reports:Kentucky polls close at 6. Parts of Indiana don't follow Daylight Savings, so they should report early as well.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 7:30 PM (0 comments) What's with Kentucky?Somebody over there has their shit together. 28% of precincts are already reporting according to CNN.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 7:27 PM (0 comments) Drudge drops exit poll numbersMaybe VNS had a point? Who'd a thunk it?Bush's victory party looks lively on MSNBC, despite the absence of No�l Bush... McBride HQ looks like a funeral home... Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 7:12 PM (0 comments) Really?"Count the vote tonight...that's how we're going to find out what happened." --Aaron Brown, CNNFull post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 7:06 PM (0 comments) MSNBC is ridiculousMSNBC is pulling up zeros over and again and calling results with only hundreds of votes in.It's enough to make one pine for the days of VNS. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 7:05 PM (0 comments) Fuck 'em"One of those polls, by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center on Thursday said that the write-in votes for Smith could amount to 3-4 percent of the vote."Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 6:58 PM (0 comments) TonightThe thing that really sucks about tonight is that, in all probability, the elections won't be sorted out for a few days, if not weeks. It makes election night a lot less interesting.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 6:38 PM (0 comments) The BarEmmett and I are off. We may be back some real numbers start coming in.Talc, Larry: why not try two post-election polls on campus (if you can get a few freshmen together): 1) Topic: Shaheen/Sununu and generic house match-up; sample: anyone hanging out in Collis. 2) Topic: same; sample: anyone hanging out in a fraternity basement. That's what I'd like to know. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 6:17 PM (0 comments) ResultsSome of the NH results are in -- sort of.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 6:16 PM (0 comments) More TroublesThe Corner reports that TX is also having problems with their scanners. Straight ticket votes are being counted as a separate office and not as a vote for each candidate. Serves the voters right for being too damn lazy to actually vote for their candidates.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 6:08 PM (0 comments) South DakotaScream bloody murder or we may have to just scalp 'em : )Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 6:05 PM (0 comments) Rollo's ConfusionThose aren't my numbers, they're Drudge's. Drudge predicted AR but not NH (though I notice that, in the five minutes since I posted that, he has since removed his predictions from his site). I think both will hold, in degree if not intensity.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 6:02 PM (0 comments) Time ZonesGood observation, Clark -- though after the registration scandal I believe GOP ops are out in force out there. If the Dems try anything funny, we'll scream bloody murder.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 5:59 PM (0 comments) I'm confusedYou have Pryor up by 2 and Sununu up by 2. Why is Pryor going to win, but NH is up in the air?Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 5:58 PM (0 comments) One More ThingGrain of Salt!Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 5:57 PM (0 comments) Drudge UpdateThings are promising. Here are Drudge's latest numbers:AR: Pryor by 2 (only!) CO: Strickland leads "easily" GA: Chambliss by 4 (!) LA: Landrieu headed for runoff MN: Coleman by 3 (!) MO: Talent ahead NH: Sununu by 2 NJ: Lautenberg leads NC: Bowles ahead (I still don't believe this will hold) SD: Thune by 3 TX: Cornyn by 8 (!) Based on early exit polls, Drudge is predicting GOP pickups in MO, MN, GA, and SD, and Dem pickups in NC (again, unlikely), AR, and CO. This puts the GOP ahead by one, with NH up in the air and the NC prediction shaky. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 5:56 PM (0 comments) Time ZonesEmmett, your knowledge of time zones is truly amazing. One other point on South Dakota, on which I might be completely wrong, but I think the areas with the Indian reservation registration controversy are in the Mountain Time portion of the state. These would trend Democratic and may give them a late surge.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Ryan at 5:54 PM (0 comments) AP on VNS"Its operation riddled with errors, Voter News Service abandoned its state and national exit poll plans for Election Night, depriving media organizations of information to help analyze the vote."more... Note, Rollo, that AP is a part of the VNS consortium. Does this mean that any solid exit polling the AP has goes into the VNS system? I don't know. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 5:52 PM (0 comments) Masterful MobilizationAt least 6 of those by now oh-so-conspicuous Shaheen students at a table in Thayer Dining Hall, 2 in Collis.A conversation with one of them in Food Court: Dem: Hi, did you guys vote yet? Me: Yup Dem: I'm just gonna put this [flyer] here [on my table]. Me: Nah, Shaheen's very pro-environment. She'd want you to recycle. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by alex at 5:50 PM (0 comments) Re: Several ThingsAlston: You're absolutely right. Dole will most likely win this.Rollo: Your point about Florida Panhandle voters getting off from work and voting for Bush in 2000 is well-taken, but remember that the Panhandle is in a different time zone, which probably explains their late votes. However, this reminds me: Memphis and Nashville are in Central Time, while the rest (most rural parts) of Tennessee is in Eastern Time. Expect a late bump for Bob Clement, but don't expect it to put him over the top unless it's tight now. Also, South Dakota is split, too. Rapid City is in Mountain Time, while Pierre, Sioux Falls, and Sioux City are in Central Time. If Democrats in the state are concentrated in these "urban" areas (i.e., hamlets), this is a plus for Thune. Of course, in a state like South Dakota, the parties are probably very evenly distributed, so again: grain of salt! Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Emmett at 5:42 PM (0 comments) Drudgeat 17:21 has Sununu up 2Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 5:41 PM (0 comments) CNN was actually prepared for thisI don't normally give them much credit, but "If there is a problem with the VNS system, CNN will switch to use material from the AP." They've had that up all day here.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Rollo at 5:39 PM (0 comments) A bit more on VNSThey don't have any data at all for at least 1/3 of all precincts.Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Alston B. Ramsay at 5:38 PM (0 comments) A concession of sorts in PAI just ripped the posters down off the wall. I know it's not official or anything, but the action is necessary, symbolic and close enough.Alas poor Fisher; I knew him not well. Nobody did; that was the problem. Of course, if I'm wrong (Allah willing), forget you ever read this. Full post and comments below the fold. Posted by Andrew Grossman at 5:33 PM (0 comments) |